Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 998.213483 1138.015033 1296.328687 1490.103404 1722.547022 1994.511763 2339.897745
2025-03-02 796.638574 978.382410 1205.342945 1514.635747 1933.207552 2492.199406 3316.945781
2025-03-09 687.717564 883.866805 1144.183555 1524.426111 2082.558896 2900.835207 4251.042154
2025-03-16 603.043841 802.045843 1078.712670 1505.443134 2174.301559 3234.544960 5163.800155
2025-03-23 551.475321 755.802435 1051.811461 1531.440547 2330.470380 3695.430278 6433.818596
2025-03-30 492.029512 689.563808 984.720913 1481.348900 2349.098329 3923.276476 7349.191999
2025-04-06 444.392812 634.929090 927.391727 1436.143747 2364.003062 4142.913097 8325.778711
2025-04-13 402.837801 585.035838 871.187294 1383.480901 2353.613601 4308.059403 9244.202431
2025-04-20 386.042513 571.969793 872.350175 1429.786732 2537.091903 4916.310910 11531.735020
2025-04-27 365.599511 550.834300 857.318343 1443.831087 2658.412561 5422.490546 13824.056617
2025-05-04 349.590638 535.366130 850.001232 1470.729476 2811.219976 6048.045394 16870.848446
2025-05-11 334.181617 519.430362 839.963107 1490.467570 2951.988080 6688.930504 20439.357665
2025-05-18 323.011416 510.671928 843.476044 1541.515596 3185.183871 7690.612817 26411.997085
2025-05-25 311.012827 499.551524 841.730418 1582.276489 3407.086821 8767.537768 34063.077739
2025-06-01 296.378993 482.326421 826.357238 1590.823359 3549.323923 9663.292451 42108.551457
2025-06-08 280.020753 460.610100 800.045714 1570.987038 3611.774629 10324.684829 49914.135002
2025-06-15 270.097143 450.006265 794.635656 1598.420086 3813.544931 11595.879542 64365.543223
2025-06-22 253.118078 424.860458 757.501681 1545.524137 3769.894337 11903.940811 72179.679567
2025-06-29 238.080800 402.447317 724.170646 1497.808675 3732.796884 12233.556683 81185.525406
2025-07-06 223.539741 380.108868 689.295395 1442.250511 3660.947341 12392.036366 89182.217779
2025-07-13 219.259442 377.422749 695.556575 1491.100538 3935.702240 14291.914315 123841.302615
2025-07-20 212.365936 369.093944 688.957999 1505.921291 4103.106740 15801.743702 161664.211051
2025-07-27 206.966559 363.373256 687.524098 1534.312763 4327.046821 17791.955852 221915.079352